UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
3 - 2
Marseille

(Feyenoord win 3-2 on aggregate)

Dessers (18', 46'), Sinisterra (20')
Malacia (37'), Geertruida (79'), Hendrix (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Dieng (28'), Gerson (40')
Harit (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Feyenoord and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71
4	FC Twente	33	17	65

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Marseille
44.21%	23.69%	32.1%

Both teams to score 61.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07%

62.92%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36%

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05%

49.95%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35%

24.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83%

59.16%

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 44.21%

Marseille 32.1%

Draw 23.68%

Feyenoord	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.5% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.1%