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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

We said: Marseille 2-1 Nantes

Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
61.61%22.08%16.31%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57%49.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53%71.47%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4%79.6%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.6%
    Nantes 16.31%
    Draw 22.07%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
79.3%
Draw
16.9%
Nantes
3.8%
420
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG28189165244163
2Brest29158644271753
3MonacoMonaco28157653381552
4Lille281310542251749
5Nice2812882822644
6Lens29127103832643
7Lyon29125123845-741
8Reims29117113639-340
9Marseille2810994133839
10Rennes29109104136539
11Toulouse2999113437-336
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2999113340-736
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier29810113641-533
14NantesNantes2994162845-1731
15Le HavreLe Havre29610132737-1028
16Lorient2868143552-1726
17Metz2975173049-1926
18Clermont29410152148-2722


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