Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
61.61%	22.08%	16.31%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57%

49.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53%

71.47%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46%

15.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53%

44.47%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64%

43.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.4%

79.6%

Score Analysis

Marseille 61.6%

Nantes 16.31%

Draw 22.07%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.31%