| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 43.57% | 26.53% | 29.9% |
| Both teams to score 50.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.18% | 53.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% | 75.29% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% | 59% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.91% |