Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.