Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 2
Nantes

Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nantes
65.48% ( 0.03)	19.21% ( -0.01)	15.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

0.03)

38.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95% (

0.03)

61.05% (

-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

0.02)

11.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.56% (

0.03)

35.44% (

-0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85%

38.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.08% (

-0)

74.92% (

Score Analysis

Lyon 65.48%

Nantes 15.3%

Draw 19.21%

Lyon	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 4.29% Total : 65.48%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.3%