Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
70.6% ( 1.84)	17.32% ( -0.87)	12.09% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 52.59% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.64% (

1.69)

37.36% (

-1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.42% (

1.8)

59.58% (

-1.79)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57% (

0.9)

9.43% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.3% (

2.07)

31.7% (

-2.07)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

-0.42)

41.93% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0.36)

78.38% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 70.6%

Nantes 12.09%

Draw 17.32%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.6%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.32%	1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.4% Total : 12.09%