Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.