| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 56.03% | 23.64% | 20.33% |
| Both teams to score 50.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% | 49.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% | 71.91% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% | 17.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% | 48.26% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% | 38.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.33% |