Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Strasbourg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.