Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lens |
35.9% | 27.25% | 36.85% |
Both teams to score 50.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.62% | 55.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% | 76.58% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% | 29.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% | 65.51% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% | 64.8% |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |