Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 35.9% | 27.25% | 36.85% |
| Both teams to score 50.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% | 65.51% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% | 64.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.84% |