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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Monaco

Lens
2 - 4
Monaco

Said (45'), Kalimuendo (53')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ben Yedder (18', 88'), Lucas (27'), Diop (29')
Golovin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
35.62%25.59%38.78%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.57%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53%61.47%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.06%
Score Analysis
    Lens 35.62%
    Monaco 38.78%
    Draw 25.59%
LensDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
36.1%
Draw
30.1%
Monaco
33.7%
83