We said: Monaco 2-0 Clermont
Both teams head into this game on the back of a draw, but their form on a wider scale is vastly different, which is reflected in their league positions.
Monaco have the chance to potentially break into European places this weekend, and securing a victory is something they should be capable of doing here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
