Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.