Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
UPC-Arena
Monaco

Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Monaco

Jantscher (7' pen.)
Prass (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Volland (30')
Pavlovic (6'), Aguilar (32'), Golovin (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawMonaco
29.71%22.14%48.15%
Both teams to score 65.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.78%34.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88%56.12%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02%22.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23%56.78%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29%14.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09%42.91%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 29.71%
    Monaco 48.15%
    Draw 22.14%
Sturm GrazDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.38%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-1 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 5.83%
2-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 3.97%
1-4 @ 2.8%
2-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.9%
1-5 @ 1.07%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.15%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Monaco

Sturm Graz
20.0%
Draw
7.5%
Monaco
72.5%
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