Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Angers had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Monaco |
| 30.25% | 27.29% | 42.46% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.41% | 56.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% | 77.56% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% | 33.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.39% | 70.6% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% | 61.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.45% |