Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Dec 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 0
Monaco

Mbappe (12' pen., 45')
Mbappe (19'), Gueye (74'), Verratti (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sidibe (11'), Fofana (17'), Maripan (63'), Martins (73')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
61.66%	21.17%	17.17%

Both teams to score 52.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86%

44.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48%

66.52%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21%

13.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.9%

41.1%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87%

39.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16%

75.84%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 61.64%

Monaco 17.17%

Draw 21.16%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 6.56% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.9% Total : 61.64%	1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16%	0-1 @ 5.06% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.17%