Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lens |
22.09% | 23.3% | 54.6% |
Both teams to score 53.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.73% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% | 35.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% | 71.99% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.94% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.21% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.09% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |