Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
33.29% | 24.06% | 42.66% |
Both teams to score 60.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% | 41.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% | 64.26% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% | 24.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% | 59.07% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% | 19.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.06% | 51.94% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.29% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.08% Total : 42.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |