Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.