Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.