Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
49.72% | 24.58% | 25.71% |
Both teams to score 53.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% | 70.54% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% | 19.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% | 51.37% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% | 33.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% | 69.74% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |