After their recent defensive disasters, Petkovic will surely look to shore up his defence and perhaps look to steal one goal against a side who have also struggled in the last couple of weeks. We do not think it will be enough, though, and are backing the hosts to leave with a comfortable two-goal victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
