Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
64.94% | 20.15% | 14.92% |
Both teams to score 50.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% | 43.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% | 66.24% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% | 12.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% | 38.97% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% | 41.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% | 78.3% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.17% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 9.57% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.15% | 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |