Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lille |
| 36.55% | 25% | 38.44% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% | 45.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% | 67.99% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% | 58.97% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% | 23.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% | 57.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.44% |