Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 36.96% | 28.98% | 34.06% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.19% | 61.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% | 81.6% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% | 33.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% | 70.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.06% |