Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Bordeaux |
53.89% | 23.81% | 22.29% |
Both teams to score 52.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% | 48.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% | 70.53% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% | 17.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% | 48.64% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.86% | 36.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% | 72.92% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Bordeaux |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.58% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |