Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 27.93% | 25.56% | 46.5% |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% | 50.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.82% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% | 32.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% | 69.28% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% | 55.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.93% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.5% |