| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Clermont |
| 57.91% | 23.19% | 18.9% |
| Both teams to score 49.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% | 49.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% | 16.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% | 47.11% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% | 40.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% | 77.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.22% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.9% |