Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
57.91% | 23.19% | 18.9% |
Both teams to score 49.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.01% | 49.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.03% | 71.97% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% | 16.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% | 47.11% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.43% | 40.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.83% | 77.16% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.22% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |