Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 40.44% | 27.48% | 32.08% |
| Both teams to score 48.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% | 56.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% | 77.72% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% | 63.03% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% | 69.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.07% |