Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 6, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
4 - 0
Clermont

Bamba (3'), David (71'), Celik (84'), Zhegrova (90')
Gourvennec (40'), Ben Arfa (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdul Samed (36'), Seidu (66')
Abdul Samed (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 1-3 Lille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Lille vs. Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	37	7	54
10	Lille	37	0	54
11	Brest	37	-6	48

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Clermont
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Clermont vs. Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	37	-16	37
16	Clermont	37	-30	36
17	Lorient	37	-28	35

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Clermont
57.2%	23.86%	18.95%

Both teams to score 47.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47%

52.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81%

74.19%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83%

49.17%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01%

41.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57%

78.43%

Score Analysis

Lille 57.19%

Clermont 18.95%

Draw 23.85%

Lille	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.19%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.95%