Lille

3 - 1

Lorient

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.