Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
4 - 1
Lorient

Sarr (5'), Jenz (9' og.), Boulaya (19'), Niane (80')
Pajot (49'), Sarr (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Jenz (69')
Abergel (17'), Laporte (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lorient
40.84%	27.94%	31.22%

Both teams to score 47.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35%

58.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8%

79.2%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11%

63.89%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69%

34.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99%

71.01%

Score Analysis

Metz 40.83%

Lorient 31.22%

Draw 27.94%

Metz	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.28% Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Metz vs Lorient

Metz

59.0%

Draw

28.2%

Lorient

12.8%