Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lille had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.