Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lille |
| 32.91% | 25.83% | 41.26% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% | 49.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.93% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% | 64.55% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% | 23.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% | 58.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.26% |