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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Whilst Brest will be desperate to return to winning ways - and will have home advantage - Lille have rediscovered some of the form that took them to a shock title last year, and we think they will have too much for Les Pirates on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
32.91%25.83%41.26%
Both teams to score 54.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05%49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06%71.93%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28%28.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45%64.55%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Brest 32.91%
    Lille 41.26%
    Draw 25.82%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
10.0%
Draw
7.5%
Lille
82.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Brest
Celik (44'), Bamba (75')
Belkebla (7')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
P-P
Lille
Dec 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 17
Lille
1-0
Brest
Osimhen (16')

Larsonneur (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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