Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.