Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.17% | 23.2% | 53.62% |
Both teams to score 55.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% | 44.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% | 67.18% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% | 33.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.02% | 69.97% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.34% | 16.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.48% | 46.52% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.17% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |