Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 5
PSG

Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
23.17%	23.2%	53.62%

Both teams to score 55.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82%

67.18%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65%

33.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.97%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34%

16.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.48%

46.52%

Score Analysis

Lille 23.17%

Paris Saint-Germain 53.62%

Draw 23.2%

Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.17%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.62%