Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.