Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 12, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Xeka (77')
Andre (18'), Gomes (22'), Gomes (23'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
36.87%	25.29%	37.83%

Both teams to score 56.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

46.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05%

24.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41%

59.58%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 36.87%

Lille 37.83%

Draw 25.29%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.94% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.83%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille

Montpellier HSC

39.5%

Draw

18.4%

Lille

42.1%