Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Metz |
| 56.67% | 23.88% | 19.45% |
| Both teams to score 48.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% | 51.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% | 18.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% | 49.14% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% | 41.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% | 77.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.49% 4-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.45% |