| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
| 56.3% | 24.74% | 18.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% | 55.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% | 51.8% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% | 80.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 5.07% 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.95% |