| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Clermont | 37 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Lorient | 37 | -28 | 35 |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 37 | 14 | 61 |
| 8 | Lyon | 37 | 14 | 58 |
| 9 | Nantes | 37 | 7 | 54 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
| 26.12% | 25.53% | 48.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.71% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% | 34.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% | 71.44% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% | 54.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.35% |