Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lyon
21.38%	22.22%	56.4%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48%

42.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08%

64.91%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29%

33.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64%

70.35%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09%

14.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.73%

43.27%

Score Analysis

Brest 21.38%

Lyon 56.4%

Draw 22.21%

Brest	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.46% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.38%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-3 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.4%