| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 69.87% | 18.8% | 11.33% |
| Both teams to score 44.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% | 46.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% | 12.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.46% | 37.54% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.02% | 48.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.06% | 83.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 13.21% 1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.66% 4-0 @ 4.93% 4-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.09% Total : 69.86% | 1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.8% | 0-1 @ 4.21% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.44% Total : 11.33% |