Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.