Potential new EL header

Europa League

Porto
Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Lyon

Porto
0 - 1
Lyon


Otavio (74'), Conceicao (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paqueta (59')
Dubois (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Porto and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Tondela vs. Porto
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Lyon

Last Six:
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Clermont vs. Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawLyon
58.39%23.63%17.97%
Both teams to score 46.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47%52.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4%74.59%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08%17.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28%48.71%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59%43.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37%79.63%
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.38%
    Lyon 17.97%
    Draw 23.63%
PortoDrawLyon
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.5%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.49%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Porto vs Lyon

Porto
73.7%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.1%
281