Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 6, 2022 at 6pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 4
Porto

Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')

Reaction

Porto's Mateus Uribe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 24, 2022

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Mar 8, 17:45

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Tondela vs. Porto
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Porto
15.22%	20.56%	64.22%

Both teams to score 50.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95%

45.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6%

67.39%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84%

42.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.42%

78.57%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.69%

13.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.86%

40.14%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 15.22%

Porto 64.22%

Draw 20.56%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.22% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.22%	1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.56%	0-2 @ 11.41% 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-4 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-5 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.92% Total : 64.22%