Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
46.45% | 25.5% | 28.04% |
Both teams to score 52.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.37% | 50.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.46% | 72.54% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% | 21.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% | 54.99% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% | 32.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% | 68.99% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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