Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Costa (58'), Beltrame (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Janvier (82')
Silva (58'), Maga (72'), Quaresma (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
38.08%	27.45%	34.47%

Both teams to score 49.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.77%

56.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72%

77.28%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4%

28.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59%

64.41%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17%

30.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9%

67.11%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 38.08%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.47%

Draw 27.44%

Maritimo	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.08%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.47%