Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 48.57% | 25.89% | 25.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% | 22.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% | 55.56% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% | 36.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% | 72.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.53% |