| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 43.24% | 26.2% | 30.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% | 52.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% | 73.97% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% | 58.26% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% | 31.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.56% |