Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril
1 - 0
Moreirense

Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Moreirense
46.71%	26.36%	26.93%

Both teams to score 49.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3%

54.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98%

76.02%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.38%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48%

35.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72%

72.28%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 46.71%

Moreirense 26.93%

Draw 26.36%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.93%