| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Belenenses |
| 50.78% | 25.32% | 23.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% | 74.51% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% | 20.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% | 53.53% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% | 37.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% | 73.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.77% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.89% |