| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
| 31.63% | 26.49% | 41.87% |
| Both teams to score 51.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% | 53.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% | 74.62% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% | 59.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.87% |