Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 46.04% | 26.66% | 27.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% | 76.75% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% | 24.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% | 58.39% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% | 35.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% | 72.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.3% |