Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
46.04% | 26.66% | 27.3% |
Both teams to score 48.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.75% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% | 24.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% | 58.39% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% | 35.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% | 72.46% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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