| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
| 28.83% | 26.05% | 45.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% | 52.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% | 74.12% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% | 32.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% | 69.39% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% | 23.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.12% |