| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Portimonense |
| 52.61% ( | 24.43% ( | 22.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( | 72.18% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( | 19.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( | 50.64% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( | 36.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 1% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.96% |